Investment Strategy Overview for S&P 500 as of September 23, 2024

S&P 500 Market Summary (September 23, 2024)

Current Market Status:

  • Closing Price: 5,718.6 (+0.28%)
  • Trend: Bullish

Long-Term Strategy:

  • The S&P 500 is in a Bullish zone with strong buying pressure and a low risk of decline. The recommended approach is "Buy and Hold" as the market shows continued upward movement, with occasional corrections. The potential for high returns makes it a favorable time for long-term investment.

Short-Term Strategy:

  • With the market entering a phase of stronger buying, now is an advantageous time for purchasing, followed by a strategic partial sell to capitalize on price peaks expected in the near future. Active buying is recommended immediately with expected short-term price increases.
  • Key Price Targets:
    • Buying Price: Around 5,731.7
    • Selling Price: Around 5,869.0

This strategy leverages both the bullish trend and temporary corrections to maximize gains from market movements.



Sep 23, 2024

 

 

 

S&P 500 closing price

5,718.6

0.28%

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Long-term strategy]

The current trend zone is Bullish, and Investment position suitable for the trend zone is Buy and Hold.

 

 

 

 

The trend within a Bullish zone is divided into an 'Uptrend' in the upward direction and a 'Correction Trend' in the downward direction. In the Uptrend, there is a strong upward flow with occasional downward movements, while in the Correction Trend, there is a fluctuating flow involving limited or temporary downward movements and upward fluctuations. Investing in this zone is associated with high expected returns and a low risk of decline.

 

 

 

 

In a Bullish zone, the potential for strong buying pressure is maintained, leading to a robust upward trend and a relatively mild correction trend. When viewed through a medium to long-term investment approach, if the trend continues to move in the Bullish zone, one can anticipate an upward flow of the bullish trend, seeking the potential for high returns.

 

 

 

 

This is a method of investing in the long term, enjoying investment returns by holding assets for an extended period rather than engaging in repetitive buying and selling based on price fluctuations. And when the trend enters a Bearish zone, it becomes the Selling point.

 

 

 

 

As there are no anticipated changes in the trend zone that warrant considering a shift in investment strategy at this point, it is advisable to maintain the current investment position.

 

 

 

 

The 'Buy and Hold' position has been maintained for 7 days since the entry into the Bullish zone. During this period, the cumulative rate of

return in the Bullish has been

2.2%

as of the current date.

 

 

 

 

Buying price

Current price

Difference

5,595.8

5,718.6

122.8

Sep 12, 2024

Sep 23, 2024

7 days

 

 

 

 

[Short-term strategy]

Indicating that We are currently in a bullish zone. Therefore, it is recommended to implement a strategy to increase profits and take a suitable investing position.

 

 

 

 

In a bullish zone, where buying intensity is potentially strong, anticipating significant upward movements is reasonable. Therefore, actively responding with aggressive buying at appropriate entry points in the short term is effective. During selling moments, a gradual and partial selling approach is recommended. This strategy allows for the exploration of opportunities to buy back at lower prices.

 

 

 

 

Currently, it's about to begin an uptrend as a correction trend gradually transitions to small declines and strong rises. and It's maintaining a suitable Buy-Sell intensity for the current trend conditions.

 

 

 

 

Entering an uptrend is when the subdued buying intensity gradually strengthens, leading to a robust upward momentum.

 

 

 

 

It is expected that the overall trend movement over the next 10 days will follow a sideways box pattern, with a ratio of 7 : 3 for the downward to upward direction, indicating a higher proportion of the downward trend. However, in terms of the expected intensity of the upward and downward movements, the downward intensity is moderate, while the upward intensity is higher.

 

 

 

 

A suitable investing position is 'Buy(Bullish) and Hold' for now. The appropriate buying timing is predicted to be either today or tomorrow.

 

 

 

 

The buying date is

Sep 24

 

 

A good price to buy a stock:

5,731.7

 

 

 

 

And the appropriate selling timing is predicted to be in 4 days.

The selling date is

Sep 26

to

Sep 27

A good price to sell a stock:

5,869.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

- Volatility of Prediction

Due to maintaining a proper flow of Buy-Sell intensity that is suitable for the current trend, pretiming predictions may have low volatility.

 

 

 

 

- Predicting the Turning Point of the Trend

The probability of a trend reversal occurring approximately 1 day from now, 4 days from now

 

 

 

 

 

- Prediction of Upper~Lower price range over the next 10 days

Price:

5,712.9

~

5,837.0

% Change:

-0.1%

~

2.1%

Median price between the upper and lower

5,774.9

1.0%

 

 

 

 

- Analysis of the trend zone & level% and average intensity of trends

For the last 30 days, the average trend zone & level%

Bullish

22%

The Current trend zone & level%

Bullish

34%

The expected average trend zone & level% for the next 10 days

Bullish

19%

If the trend moves upward from the current trend level%, it's expected to have an average upward intensity of

76%

(Max 100%)

And if it moves downward, it is expected to have a downward intensity of

-30%

(Min -100%)

 

 

 

 

- Average closing price in case of rising:

 

0.5%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.7%

~

-0.2%

- Average closing price in case of falling:

 

-0.4%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.4%

~

-0.7%

Comments

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